INNOVATION

AgMIP aiming to improve productivity and yields

The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) is a major international effort linking the climate, crop, and economic modeling communities with cutting-edge information technology to produce improved crop and economic models and the next generation of climate impact projections for the agricultural sector.

The goals of AgMIP are to improve substantially the characterization of world food security due to climate change and to enhance adaptation capacity in both developing and developed countries.

Analyses of the agricultural impacts of climate variability and change require a transdisciplinary effort to consistently link state-of-the-art climate scenarios to crop and economic models. Crop model outputs are aggregated as inputs to regional and global economic models to determine regional vulnerabilities, changes in comparative advantage, price effects, and potential adaptation strategies in the agricultural sector.

Climate, crop model, economics, and information technology protocols are presented to guide coordinated AgMIP research activities around the world, along with cross-cutting themes that address aggregation, uncertainty, and the development of Representative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs) to enable testing of climate change adaptations in the context of other global trends. The organization of research activities by geographic region and specific crops is described, along with project milestones.

The first set of comprehensive assessments of climate change impacts on smallholder farming systems has been completed by AgMIP. The assessments evaluate yield, income, and poverty outcomes including the effects of adaptation policies to provide stakeholders with the intelligence they need to guide planning and decision making.

 

Dr. Cynthia Rosenzweig, a senior researcher at NASA GISS, will be presenting this innovation at GFIA Africa: 1-2 December, Durban, South Africa. For tickets visit www.gfiaafrica.com

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